Records indicate white Christmas not likely on South Plains - KCBD NewsChannel 11 Lubbock

12/23/09

Records indicate white Christmas not likely on South Plains

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By Ben Lawson  - bio | email

LUBBOCK, TX (KCBD) - Historically the region's weather doesn't "let it snow" on Christmas. NewsChannel 11 checked our chances. We've had a hand-full of Christmas days with snow, but not all of them gave us a true white Christmas according to the National Weather Service.

"Officially, a white Christmas is an inch of snow on the ground when you wake up in the morning. Our chances for that here on the South Plains are pretty low, less than 5%," Jody James, Warning Coordinator Meteorologist with the NWS said. 

When we look back at the numbers for Lubbock, the Hub City has only had four white Christmas days since 1911. Those records show only a dozen times where snow has fallen or been on the ground for Christmas day, so the odds aren't in our favor.

James says that's mainly due to low moisture levels in west Texas, and a tendency for the main storm track to move north of the South Plains. Still, he says we are seeing a more active pattern this season, so crews will keep on watch.

"We're still watching. Sometimes the weather likes to change in a hurry, and sometimes the computer models we look at can flip-flop around.  So, we'll keep watching it, and if things change, we'll keep everyone advised," James said. 

The last time we had a trace of snow on Christmas day was in 2006. The last time we had a true white Christmas was in 2004 with two-inches on the ground, but that was not new snowfall.

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