5:00 AM Update: Strong March sun will warm our air into the 40s today. A few towns in southwestern Connecticut even have a shot at around 50° this afternoon! A cold front now positioned over southern Ontario will bring scattered snow showers tonight -- we might pick up a dusting from those -- before cooler air settles into Connecticut tomorrow.
Good Friday Evening!
We are now one week into the month of March and so far it has been incredibly cold! Today started out frigid with a morning low of 3 degrees at Bradley International. The afternoon high was 35 degrees. The normal low for March 7th is 25 degrees and the normal high is 44 degrees. The average temperature for the first week of March is 20.4 degrees, which is 13.5 degrees colder than normal. In fact, March's average temperature is lower than the average temperature we experienced in January and February!
A large ocean storm spread clouds into Southern New England today. The storm could brush Cape Cod and the Islands with some light rain tonight, but it'll be a dry Friday evening in Connecticut. The clouds will tend to clear away overnight as the storm begins to move away from the New England Coast. Low temperatures will range from the low and mid teens inland to the low and mid 20s along the I-95 corridor.
Tomorrow will be the mildest day of the month. That isn't saying very much since the highest temperature so far is just 37 degrees. I expect highs in the 40s Saturday afternoon and we may have a shot at 50 degrees in southern portions of the state. Sunshine will mix with some clouds during the afternoon as a cold front approaches from the north. The front could stir up a few flurries or snow showers Saturday night and early Sunday morning. Plus, it will put the brakes on our brief warming trend.
Sunday will feature plenty of sunshine, but it'll feel like winter again with a chilly northwesterly breeze. Highs will be in the 30s to near 40 degrees.
A warm front will pass through Southern New England on Monday and it could bring a few flurries or snow showers. A dusting or coating of snow is possible in some locations, especially over Northern Connecticut and Massachusetts. Temperatures will top out in the lower 40s Monday afternoon under partly to mostly cloudy skies. By Tuesday, we can look forward to another nice rebound. We have another shot at 50 degrees, perhaps even higher!
By midweek, cold high pressure will build southward out of Central Canada and it will push colder air southward across all of New England. At the same time, a storm system will take aim at us from the west or southwest. It now looks like precipitation will arrive Wednesday afternoon and it will continue Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The type of precipitation is still in question since the computer guidance models are at odds when it comes to the storm track. The European model brings the storm center very close to Southern New England and therefore is the warmer solution with a wintry mix and rain. The GFS has a more southerly track and is therefore the colder model. The GFS is forecasting all snow with a moderate snowfall possible. At this point, I am leaning toward the colder solution given the strength of high pressure to our north. Since the storm is still 5 days away, we won't get too specific at this point in time. Many things could change and they usually do!
Don't forget to turn your clocks ahead 1 hour when you go to bed Saturday night! Yes, this is the weekend we "spring forward" to daylight saving time! Officially DST begins Sunday morning at 2:00 am. Sunrise will occur at 7:13 Sunday morning and it will set nice and late at 6:50 Sunday evening. This is also a good time to change the batteries in your smoke detectors to make sure they are working properly throughout the spring and summer seasons. On the downside, we will lose 1 hour this weekend and Monday will arrive just a little too early.