A strong cold front will bring above normal afternoon temperatures and fair skies to a sudden halt Sunday evening.
The spring cold front will move into the Texas Panhandle early Sunday afternoon, but is not expected to enter the KCBD viewing area until late afternoon and will pass through Lubbock a few hours afterward. Ahead of this front, mild afternoon temperatures in the 80's and sunshine will occur across most of our area.
However, strong winds right along the cold front could bring dense blowing to your area upon its arrival. Behind the front, sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph and gusts up to 50 mph will continue to create blowing dust through Sunday night before diminishing early Monday morning.
Then, attention turns to an upper-level disturbance moving out of New Mexico and into the Texas Panhandle early Monday. While the atmosphere will be dry, this storm system could still produce a few light rain showers, mixed precipitation or even light snow. The best opportunity for wintry weather will occur between midnight and noon Monday.
The northwestern South Plains - Parmer, Castro, Swisher, Bailey and Lamb counties - currently have the best chance of wintry precipitation, which will diminish before Monday afternoon. Considering how light any precipitation will be and warm soil temperatures, wintry accumulation is not expected in these areas.
Further south, the chance of rain, snow or a wintry mix is lower, but a cannot be ruled out. Temperature-wise, a light freezing is most likely west of Interstate 27 and north of Highway 114 on Monday morning.
Regardless of whether wintry showers occur, Monday will be cold. Temperatures will run 20 to 30 degrees below seasonal averages, and strong northerly winds will only add to the chill. As skies clear Monday afternoon and northerly gusts diminish by sunset, the stage will be set for a cold Monday night. A hard freeze on the Caprock, and light freeze on the Rolling Plains is currently expected.
Temperatures will be cold enough to damage unprotected sensitive vegetation across the entire viewing area. Take precautions to protect plants that are not hardy to temperatures below 30 degrees.