Forecast conditions favor isolated afternoon thunderstorms firing up early Thursday afternoon, perhaps as early as the lunch hour, over the western KCBD viewing area. During the afternoon the thunderstorm activity is expected to expand northeasterly, become widely scattered and intensify. Some of these storms will be strong and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is highlighting the western one-third of the viewing area – roughly along and west of Highway 385 – at a slight risk of severe weather. The main threats are mainly large hail and strong winds.
The amount of moisture in the atmosphere, measured by the dew point, is near or above the greatest levels seen in months, perhaps since October. This increases the potential for heavy rain, at least localized heavy rainfall. Today through Monday some rain is expected to fall in every corner of the KCBD viewing area. Most locations are likely to receive significant (at least a quarter inch) rainfall, while many locations may see beneficial (at least an inch) rain and some localized areas potentially substantial (two or more inches) of rainfall.
Tonight isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely, some of which may be strong with pockets of heavy rainfall. Watch for water that may be covering roads. The slight risk of severe weather noted above will continue, especially early. Severe weather may occur outside of the highlighted area and/or at different times.
Tomorrow, scattered strong thunderstorms are expected. There will also be a slight risk of severe weather, mainly west, with hail and wind being the main threats. Locally heavy rainfall will continue to be possible.
Friday night through Saturday night, isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms are expected with locally heavy rainfall and a slight risk of severe weather. Rain chances will gradually decline Sunday into Monday, but currently it appears there will be at least a slight chance of thunderstorms lingering through Memorial Day. Outdoor activities may be affected by inclement weather.
Over the next few days, as rain mixes with built up grime, there may be some very slick patches on area roads. The First Alert Forecast Team urges you to drive to conditions, which may mean slower and with more distance between vehicles. Start braking earlier. The Team adds this reminder for those with 4 Wheel Drive (sometimes called 4WD or FWD or AWD): When it comes to stopping, you don't have any more braking wheels than anyone else - it's all 4 wheel braking (speaking of cars in good repair, of course). Check your tires and windshield wipers. Consider replacing your wipers. Even without use the sun, dry air, and dirt will degrade their performance. The National Highway Transportation Board says replacement every six months is ideal. Many local auto parts stores will help you if you are buying from them.
Keep an eye on kcbd.com, kcbd.com/weather, and NewsChannel11 for possible watches and warnings that may be issued.
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