This week's outlook: Rain chances on the increase around South Plains

This week's outlook: Rain chances on the increase around South Plains

(KCBD) - Some areas picked up a little rainfall overnight. Lubbock officially received 0.05" of rain overnight.

The TTU Mesonet sites near Anton and Olton picked up 0.06" for the highest totals reported. Lubbock reached 87 degrees for a high-temperature Sunday afternoon after a morning low of 54 degrees.

Peak wind gust has been 39mph at the airport. Peak wind gust was 46 mph at the TTU mesonet site near Denver City. Plains reported a 44 mph gust nearby.

The weather forecast becomes very unsettled the remainder of the work week. If models verify, Wednesday could be a wet day across the region. Models have shifted back and forth the past few days, but most agree on heavy rainfall Tuesday night through Wednesday, mainly south and east of Lubbock but European models are drier.

OVERNIGHT/MONDAY

Monday will have cloudy skies overnight and isolated storms possible, mainly towards Snyder and Jayton where the dryline will be located overnight. Lows in the 50s and 60s. Very warm throughout the night with gusty winds too.

Models show plenty of clouds around Monday. Marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across the southeastern half of the viewing area Monday afternoon and Monday night.

The central and western half of the area will be behind the dryline with critical fire dangers and gusty southwest winds. This includes Lubbock. Highs eventually warm into the middle 70's for Lubbock although high clouds could keep us cooler.

TUESDAY

Models are showing a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms across the region. Severe risk across the southeastern portion of the viewing area. Highs in the 60s and 70s for Lubbock area and all around colder Tuesday night.

WEDNESDAY RAIN EVENT

Models now increasing rain chances across the region Wednesday. Model disagreement still exists but all agree on rain, but they disagree on temperatures. Wintry mix opportunities have gone down.

Rain chances continue and have increased from yesterday's model runs. Could be locally heavy rainfall east and southeast of Lubbock.  Rumbles of thunder also possible. Highs only in the 50s and 6s.

THURSDAY

There is major disagreement on temperatures; American models are in the 50s and 60s for highs with European model in the middle 70s. Both models dry us out Thursday morning.

FRIDAY

Models reverse with European colder than American models.  European models are in the 60s while American models approach 80 degrees. Earlier indications of a freeze have been trimmed back based on latest models, but could happen if we clear out.

NEXT WEEKEND

There is lots of uncertainty with models, but most warm us up Saturday and then bring a weak front across the area Sunday. Dry for now.

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