This week's outlook: Severe weather event possible Friday - KCBD NewsChannel 11 Lubbock

This week's outlook: Severe weather event possible Friday

Source: KCBD Graphic Source: KCBD Graphic
(KCBD) -

Lubbock recorded another freeze Sunday morning dropping to 31 degrees at 6:24 a.m. CST.  

The high reached 69 degrees at 4:45 p.m. and peak wind gust was only 15 mph at Lubbock International Airport. This was the first day without 40 mph wind gusts since Tuesday, April 10. 

It will be warmer Sunday night, but still cool.  Lows drop into the upper 30s and lower 40s. There will high clouds possible northwestern areas overnight.

FIRE DANGERS RETURN MONDAY AND TUESDAY

Models show southwest winds on the increase Monday afternoon. Critical fire dangers return during the day.  

High temperatures will quickly climb into the middle and upper 80s. Southwest winds increase to 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph possible. 

Tuesday appears to be the most dangerous fire weather day across the region as a strong low-pressure system moves across the Plains Tuesday and Tuesday night. West-southwest winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts over 50 mph are possible.   

Blowing dust and extreme to severe fire weather conditions exist Tuesday afternoon. 

Fire Weather Warnings are posted for both Monday and Tuesday afternoon. 

COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING

It will be windy through midnight Tuesday night followed by a wind shift to the north and dropping wind speeds by daybreak Wednesday.  Highs will be in the lower-to-middle 70s Wednesday.

STORM CHANCE THURSDAY

Models show a dryline setting up across the area Thursday. A strong low-pressure system approaches Texas from the west.   

On Thursday, this system is expected to deepen across Nevada or Arizona. The flow is favorable for deep Gulf moisture to move across portions of West Texas late Thursday through Friday.  

A dryline will possibly trigger isolated storms Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. 

SEVERE STORMS FRIDAY??

Friday appears to be the most active day across West Texas and the South Plains region.  

The low-pressure system may take it's time ejecting across the Texas Panhandle region or possibly closer to Lubbock. This system has potential to produce meaningful rainfall, which is good.  

There will also be a risk for severe thunderstorms capable of large hail, strong wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. Details remain to be worked out but could be our first severe weather event.

STORMS FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING

The low-pressure system will linger through Saturday morning according to both the American and European long range models.  

This means we could see lingering showers and storms through Saturday morning although severe risk should be lower due to colder air moving in behind a cold front. The European model wants to produce a few wraparound showers and storms through Saturday evening.

PATCHY FROST SUNDAY MORNING

Models show lows in the middle 30s for Lubbock Sunday morning.  Might see patchy freezing conditions across the area Sunday morning.  Nice afternoon.

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