LUBBOCK, Texas (KCBD) - 103° at the Lubbock airport Wednesday, now the hottest official temp for the City this year so far. It also was four degrees above my forecast high. So, I’m going to try “cooling down” my forecast again. Read on for more on that and how the tropical weather in the Gulf is expected to affect our weather here in West Texas.
I got the isolated storms but missed the high yesterday. I calculated subtle changes yesterday would be enough to keep Lubbock from again recording a triple-digit high. Well, the changes came. Just a little later than I figured. Lubbock's official high was 103°. For those of you who read through my posts here you know I typically post the day's low and high, average low and high, and record low and high. So you also may know that 103° is not a record for July 10. You'll find that, and today's averages and records, at the end of this post.
I'll try again. Changes which began yesterday will keep high temperatures below 100 degrees this afternoon. Still, it's going to be hot with highs in the 90s. Hot and humid. The heat, humidity, and residual boundaries from last night's showers and thunderstorms (over the northeastern KCBD viewing area) will ignite a few isolated storms late this afternoon and early this evening. Once again, possibly over any part of the viewing. Any storms which do form may produce damaging wind gusts, hail up to about an inch-and-a-half in diameter, and drenching downpours.
Another round of storms is possible by late evening with activity moving from New Mexico into the northwestern viewing area. These storms are likely to drift south overnight, affecting primarily the western viewing area. Strong winds and heavy rainfall may accompany these later storms.
Outside of storm activity today overall will be partly cloudy, winds will be light, and our afternoon hot. Highs will range from near 90 to the mid-90s. There's much more, including UV information and sun and moon set and rise times, in our forecast here on our Weather Page.
The tropical system over the northern Gulf continues to slowly strengthen and the forecast continues to bring it to tropical storm status today or tonight and to a Category 1 hurricane tomorrow. The forecast track takes the eye over the Louisiana coast early Saturday. It will be named Barry.
To read more about what’s expected and preparations, see our story “Louisiana braces for slow-moving possible weekend hurricane” at https://www.kcbd.com/2019/07/11/louisiana-braces-slow-moving-possible-weekend-hurricane/?fbclid=IwAR1e1tudmNT67tcZYQGjefrupl5O1xPhZxzkiA1VObkcvCNyDQMqXjzvpMg
A storm following the expected path does not bring rain to West Texas. Typically, it's the opposite. The broad circulation of the storm will pull air from our area and points west and northwest toward it, which locally results in subsidence, atmospheric stability, and typically dry and hot days.
As noted yesterday, you can track the storm using the Interactive Radar in our Weather App and right here on our Weather Page. In case you missed it yesterday, here's how to do that:
On our Weather Page, scroll down to the radar, adjust the view to include the Gulf area, click on Layers (lower right), in the menu that opens scroll down to the Overlays section, and highlight the Active Tropical Track icon. Once the storm is named icons will begin to appear on the radar. Tap/click any one of them for additional information. You also may want to try the Active Model Track, though the image will be less cluttered with it off.
In our Weather App, available for free at http://onelink.to/kcbdweather or in your app store, tap the radar icon, adjust the view to include the Gulf area, click on the Layers menu (the three dots in the circle at lower right), tap/click the Overlays heading, and highlight the Tropical Tracks icon. Active icons are in grey while inactive ones are black. Once the storm is named icons will begin to appear on the radar. Tap/click any one of them for additional information.
Lubbock's low yesterday was 65°, three degrees below the average low for the date. The high was 103°, ten degrees above the average high. The July 10 record low is 58° (1915, 1946, and 1968) and the record high 109° (1940). For today, July 11, Lubbock’s average low is 68° and the high 93°. The record low is 57° (1999) and the record high 108° (2016).
Today's sunset in Lubbock is the last this year as late as 9 PM, at 9:00 PM CDT. Tomorrow's sunrise is at 6:46 AM CDT.