Strong storms, heavy rain, possible

Storms begin isolated, but number and intensity increase. Some may be marginally severe.

LUBBOCK, Texas (KCBD) - Since this weekend the KCBD First Alert Forecast Team has been talking about an increase in our storm and rain potential for the end of the week. Well, it's about to be the end of the week. Here's my update.

I expect storms today to be isolated to begin with, developing around mid-afternoon over the western KCBD viewing area. The number and intensity of storms should increase through the evening, with the activity working eastward. Some storms may become marginally severe, with hail up to about an inch, gusts near 60 mph, and heavy rain.

Storms and rain are likely, off and on, tonight through the weekend. Again, some storms may produce hail up to about an inch, gusts near 60 mph, and heavy rain. There is and will be a considerable amount of moisture in the air, so several rounds of heavy rain are possible. Much of this is tropical moisture, some at lower levels moving up from the Gulf and some at mid- and upper levels courtesy of (currently) Tropical Storm Mario and Hurricane Lorena, both off the west coast of Mexico.

Please remain "weather aware" by keeping up with our forecast updates and activating warning notifications in our Weather App on your mobile device. Once you do, the app will notify you through your device – even when the app is not running. You can download it for free from the App Store for Apple iOS and Play Store for Android OS.

Into next week I anticipate a mostly cloudy sky, varying from periods of briefly sunny to extended overcast. Temperatures near Lubbock will range from the low and mid-60s to the 80s. It will be cooler over the northwestern viewing area, with lows in the 50s and highs from the mid-70s to near 80.

Lubbock's high yesterday was 94°, ten degrees above the average for the date. Lubbock's low this morning (as of this writing) was 66°, eight degrees above the average for the date. The September 18 record low is 43° (1971) and the record high 100° (2015). For today, September 19, Lubbock’s average low is 58° and the high 83°. The record low is 42° (1991) and the record high 105° (1930).

Today’s sunset in Lubbock is at 7:48 PM CDT. Tomorrow’s sunrise is at 7:34 AM CDT.

Autumn "officially" begins with the Autumnal Equinox at 2:50 AM Monday.

KCBD’s First Freeze Contest is your chance to win a $5,000 Shopping Spree at Yates Flooring Center. To be a winner you must enter a guess that is the one nearest the exact day, hour, AND minute of Lubbock’s first freeze (measured at the Lubbock Airport). You’ll find entry forms at Yates Flooring Center at 19th and Frankford (1901 West Loop 289) during regular store hours to enter the contest. Entries must be received by end of business three days prior to the first freeze for your guess to qualify. Visit the Contest section at kcbd.com for the official contest rules.

Copyright 2019 KCBD. All rights reserved.