Rain chances increasing Sunday into Monday

KCBD Weather at 10 for Sunday, Nov. 22

LUBBOCK, Texas (KCBD) - Rain chances still on track here for Sunday.

I can see those rain showers developing on RADAR and it’s great. Every little bit will help. Already seeing some West Texas Mesonet sites get some measurable rainfall.

All in all, we only have a narrow window of these higher chances. We’ll retain the 40% chance of rain across the South Plains through noon. After that, we’ll hit a lull in the afternoon of the actual shower activity, but we still might see some drizzle.

Later on tonight and into Monday as the upper level system moves past us, we’ll see the showers hit the brakes, shift in reverse, and start coming back up at us from the south. All though this second round won’t be as widespread.

It is looking like by Tuesday morning that drier air will be moving in and that will end the chances for this event. Also, we’ve got enough moisture around that fog, occasionally dense, will be possible.

So, after the drier air moves in, we’ll start to warm up. On Tuesday, that is going to mean some wind and maybe a bit of dust.

But that will calm down for Wednesday and Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving looking like the warmest and sunniest day of the week. By that night or early Black Friday morning, we’ll see our next front come through. Cold air with this one looks a little deeper, so we should see the 30s this next time around. And even still some slight rain chances showing up with a possible light wintry mix in the northwest.

Models still can’t agree here, but we’re watching it.

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