Which team is going to win on Saturday, November 18, when the Texas State Bobcats and Arkansas State Red Wolves match up at 3:00 PM? Our computer projection sides with the Bobcats. See our other projections below, where we break down the final score, spread, and over/under.

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Texas State vs. Arkansas State Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Arkansas State (+3) Under (59.5) Texas State 29, Arkansas State 28

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Week 12 Sun Belt Predictions

Texas State Betting Info (2023)

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  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Bobcats' implied win probability is 60.8%.
  • The Bobcats' record against the spread is 4-5-0.
  • Texas State has 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • Out of nine Bobcats games so far this year, three have gone over the total.
  • Texas State games average 61.6 total points per game this season, 2.1 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

Arkansas State Betting Info (2023)

  • The Red Wolves have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Red Wolves are 6-4-0 ATS this season.
  • In games this season in which they were an underdog by 3 points or more, the Red Wolves have a 3-4 record against the spread.
  • In the Red Wolves' 10 games with a set total, four have hit the over (40%).
  • The average point total for the Arkansas State this year is 4.9 points less than this game's over/under.

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Bobcats vs. Red Wolves 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Texas State 34.9 28.5 38.2 26.6 31.6 30.4
Arkansas State 23.5 30.8 26.4 25.0 20.6 36.6

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