High fire dangers Sunday, Windy and colder Monday

Fire Weather Warning Sunday (KCBD Graphic)
Fire Weather Warning Sunday (KCBD Graphic)
Updated: Mar. 3, 2018 at 7:10 PM CST
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LUBBOCK, TX (KCBD) - Fire dangers are the main weather story the next 24 hours.

A dryline tracks across the region during the day bringing very low humidity, gusty winds and high fire dangers, especially west of Lubbock.

A Fire Weather Warning is in effect from Noon Sunday through 7:00 p.m. Sunday.   Southwest winds are expected to increase to 20 to 35 mph with higher gusts possible.

The combination of strong wind gusts, the drought, very low humidity and very warm temperatures will promote the rapid development of grassfires or wildfires Sunday afternoon.

Any fires that develop could spread out of control very rapidly.  Sunday is a No Burn Day across West Texas.

High temperatures climb into the upper 70's and lower 80's Sunday afternoon.  After sunset, fire dangers should begin to decrease, but humidity values remain low through Monday.

The rest of the week looks cooler and dry.

The warm weather doesn't last long.  Monday will be windy and colder as a Pacific frontal system tracks across the area.  It will be very dry Monday through Wednesday with highs in the 50's and 60's each day.  Lows in the 20's and 30's are expected each night.

A significant warming trend is expected Thursday and Friday.  Models show highs in the 60's and 70's Thursday with 70's and 80's likely Friday.  Fire dangers increase as temperatures increase later this week.

Based on current models, winds pick up Saturday and Sunday.  Dust and fire dangers Saturday potentially with highs in 70's and 80's.  
Sunday could be windy and colder with European models showing precipitation Sunday with American models dry.  Models range from 40's to 80's for highs Sunday afternoon.  Thankfully, it's not in our 7-day forecast range yet.  Hopefully models will come into better agreement over time.

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