(KCBD) - Thunderstorm chances increase overnight Monday as a strong disturbance in New Mexico tracks to the northeast through Tuesday morning.
Lubbock's high was 80 degrees after a morning low of 57 degrees.
Models show the highest rain chances across the western and northwestern South Plains. Locally heavy rainfall, frequent lightning and wind gusts to 50 mph are the main hazards. The timing of this system may keep storms below severe levels, but a few severe storms remain possible especially west and northwest of Lubbock through Tuesday morning. Low temperatures drop into the upper 50's and lower 60's.
A FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAY has been designated for Tuesday as severe storms will be possible through daybreak Tuesday. Additional storms could pop up on various outflow boundaries Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. Storms could produce hail and strong wind gusts in a few locations. Heavy rainfall is also possible. Highs top out in the lower 80's.
Models are also showing a good chance of storms Wednesday and Wednesday night. Storms could be strong to severe on Wednesday too.
Storms could impact the Memorial Day weekend as a northwest flow develops across the region. This typically brings late night storms and the potential for late night severe weather if they develop.